BTC Eyes $104K — Is This the Start of a Mega Rally?

May 2, 2025 - 1 min. read

By Sjuul Föllings

Roundup 2nd May

With global tensions easing—both the war between Russia and Ukraine and the trade war between the US and China—the crypto market is finally turning optimistic again. Will we see a new all-time high (ATH) for BTC this week, or do the bulls need a stronger catalyst? Let’s explore the possible scenarios together.

7 Days Heatmap

The overall crypto bias remains bullish this week, with BTC making a new local high after gaining over 1.8%, and ETH outperforming BTC—an early signal that altcoin season might be closer than expected.

Crypto heatmap showing overall bullish sentiment with BTC up by over 1.8% and ETH up by 3%.
Crypto Heatmap 7-Days

BTC Analysis

As highlighted in our last roundup article, BTC broke above the $95,500 level, signaling a bullish continuation toward the $104,500 target.

As long as the rising orange channel remains intact, the medium-term sentiment will stay bullish.

BTC daily chart overall bullish as long as its rising channel holds.
BTC Chart – Daily Timeframe

In parallel, if the lower orange trendline is broken to the downside, a short-term bearish correction toward the $88,500 zone would be expected—where we’ll be looking for new trend-following long opportunities.

ETH Analysis

ETH continues to hover around the upper orange and red trendlines, forming a strong rejection zone as highlighted in our last market outlook.

For the bulls to maintain control, a break above the $1,845 level is required.

ETH daily chart rejecting a strong resistance at $1,845.
ETH Chart – Daily Timeframe

Meanwhile, ETH remains bearish overall in the long term and could still trade lower to test the $1,600 support before starting its next impulsive phase.

Quote of the week

A good trader watches his capital as carefully as a professional scuba diver watches his air supply.
~ Anonymous

Closing Remarks

In summary, with geopolitical tensions easing, optimism is returning to the crypto market.

BTC has broken above the $95,500 level, suggesting a bullish continuation toward $104,500, while ETH’s recent strength hints at a potential altcoin season.

However, ETH still faces long-term bearish pressure unless it clears key resistance. A downside break in BTC or ETH could lead to short-term corrections before further bullish continuation.

Sjuul Föllings

Sjuul achieved financial independence through years of immersion in cryptocurrency. Starting in 2016, he faced..

Sjuul Föllings