HBAR Token is trading at $0.18801 presently, down by almost 12% over the last week. Though there has been a short-term rise, HBAR is seriously at risk of falling to its year-to-date low of $0.12, as seen through bearish signals from recent market reports.

Current Market Conditions
According to on-chain data, HBAR declined 5% over the last week, lagging the general market rally. The token is not holding above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is essential to keep its price intact. Bearish pressures are expected to continue based on simple metrics such as Parabolic SAR and Chaikin Money Flow, showing HBAR is still capable of going lower if trends continue as is.
Real-World Asset Developments
Conversely, TradingView records growing optimism regarding HBAR due to its application in real-world asset use cases. Importantly, the Nairobi Securities Exchange has selected Hedera for use in its Kenya Digital Exchange (KDX). This partnership is a milestone, showing HBAR’s applicability in the emerging tokenized assets market.
Market analyst Gilmore Estates sees a breakout and is expecting HBAR to move up to $2 if it continues to follow the uptrend. This, based on technical indicators such as moving average crossovers and high trading volumes.,

Institutional Support and Future Prospects
Hedera’s governance includes large corporate players, which lends institutional legitimacy to the network. HBAR has recently applied for a spot Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) listing, and analysts put a probability at 80% to clear SEC approval on or before November 11, 2025. If approved, this would bring meaningful capital from traditional finance, further strengthening the market dominance of HBAR.
Since the HBAR token is on a wave of optimism following real-world implementations, it stands to drop to lows, and also watch closely to investors who will be looking at key price levels and what’s coming next.